The Human Archipelago / L'Archipel humain

  (Initial posting made on the Linked In network two days ago.) There's clearly a pattern here: Venezuela, Iran, Cuba. The first was an apparent success, but much too easy, bloodless on the American side, and with most of the old Venezuelian government apparatus still in place. Trump is hoping to transform his 'possession' into a 51rst State, but it is doubtful in the long-run. The second is more ambitious, more destructive, and even more doubtful. Trump made a major blunder there, with the Hormuz Strait now under a double blockade, while Iran is certainly reconstituting its arsenal as fast as possible and pushing for more overt and covert support from Russia and China. The U.S. is in a lose/lose situation. A retreat will look bad, a new series of air attacks will be futile, a ground attack will be disastrous. Trump is screwed, everywich way, but he probably care more about his new ballroom-toy than about anything less, a bit like the Sun-King and his Versailles. Après moi ...

  LES NOUVELLES - 2026 MAI (52) * * * (Affichages faits sur Linked In, en date du  dimanche 10 mai 2026) *** Il faut donc s'attendre à ce que l'Iran attaque toute force américaine, qu'elle soit navale, aérienne ou terrestre, se trouvant à l'intérieur de ce périmètre. Le plan trumpien visant à escorter les navires marchands coincés dans le golfe Arabique/Persique risque en conséquence de réactiver le conflit entre les États-Unis et l'Iran. https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/05/06/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-donald-trump-juge-qu-un-accord-avec-l-iran-est-tres-possible-l-armee-americaine-dit-avoir-neutralise-un-navire-dans-le-golfe-d-oman_6684072_3210.html?lmd_medium=al&lmd_campaign=envoye-par-appli&lmd_creation=android&lmd_source=default There is clearly a war of influence in the South Caucasus, between America, helped by Europe, and China, helped by Russia and Iran. The current presence of European Union officials in Armenia is one manife...