UN ROI À OUBLIER, UN TRUMP À HONNIR, UNE BINARITÉ À RETROUVER

 

LES NOUVELLES - 2025

JUIN

(8)

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(Résumé des affichages faits sur Linked In, en date du dimanche 1er juin 2025)

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C'est le monde à l'envers. Beaucoup de couples mexicains et d'ailleurs en Amérique latine font tout pour accoucher aux États-Unis pour que leur enfant ait la citoyenneté américaine. Maintenant, ce sont beaucoup de jeunes couples américains qui accouchent à l'étranger à cause de soins de santé jugés insatisfaisants chez eux...

https://www.courrierinternational.com/article/sante-partir-accoucher-a-l-etranger-une-tendance-aux-etats-unis_230891

Il est important de ne pas mélanger les choses. L'Islam permet la polygamie dans certains cas, lorsqu'il est possible, matériellement parlant, pour un homme de vivre avec plus d'une femme. Il est donc souhaitable que les personnes qui observent les préceptes de la religion musulmane aient le droit de pratiquer la polygamie, que ce soit au Canada ou ailleurs, lorsqu'il n'y a pas d'empêchement matériel et lorsque les personnes directement concernées soient d'accord. Ici, dans cette situation particulière, il est plutôt question de couples polyamoureux, tendance non binaire et non genré. Il s'agit en fait d'une dérive sociale, analogue aux hippies des années '60 qui vivaient dans des communes spontanées pour s'isoler de la société américaine. Cette pratique sexuelle n'a aucune légitimité et s'inscrit simplement dans le prolongement de la dégénérescence graduelle des moeurs qui a cours au sein de la société nord-américaine en général. Il ne convient donc pas de l'encourager, de l'admirer, de la vanter, d'en faire la promotion, de l'officialiser ou de la légaliser.

https://www.journaldequebec.com/2025/05/25/vers-la-legalisation-de-la-polygamie-au-canada

Excellent news: the sooner the Ukrainian War ends, the sooner can peace returns to Eastern Europe, can China increased its economic cooperation with the European Union, can Washingtom decreases (or ceases completely) its financial support of NATO and starts repatriating its troops back home (or diverts them to the Pacific), can Ukrainian refugees starts returning to their homeland to rebuild their lives among their own people, etc. Then, while the European Union finishes the job of rearming continental Europe and of establishing strong defensive positions on its eastern flank, it would also be able to concentrate its diplomatic efforts on the resolution of the Middle East wars initiated by the de facto Gazaouï government attack against Israel on October 2023.

https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/05/25/russia-is-raining-hellfire-on-ukraine

That move means that the global trade war initiated by US President Trump, while generally bad for most countries (including his own), may have some positive effects. The efforts to boost internal trade between the ten member States of the economic regional bloc ASEAN, in Southeast Asia, are a demonstration of that. The same thing can be said of the current efforts to reduce the obstacles to intra-provincial trade in Canada. The Trumpian Trade War may thus raise the level of trade between the ten provinces (and three territories)of Canada, while pushing the country toward a greater diversification of its trading partners on the planet, beyond the United States, currently the number one buyer and seller of Canadian goods by a very wide margin.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/ASEAN-agrees-to-lower-barriers-to-boost-regional-trade

Announced in the wake of the brief Kashmir War between Pakistan and India, this important economic project may be a way to tie Pakistan more strongly with the Sino-Russia duo, and may also signal a weakening of the internal cohesion between the member States of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, with deepening internal rifts between India, on the one hand, and some of its members, like Pakistan, Russia and China, on the other hand.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Pakistan-Russia-to-rebuild-steel-plant-Soviets-operated-until-1992

For the sake of the planet, it is to be hoped that the European Union and China will be able to find common ground in the very important matter of economic development, given the retrenchment currently taking place in the United States, the global trade war undertaken by the Trump administration, the immense hopes generated by the expansion of the BRICS economic association in Africa, Latin America and Asia, and also the necessity of mobilizing huge amounts of capital for the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip and Ukraine as soon as those conflicts stops. The world need a respite, as soon as possible, and a chance to enjoy the dividends that would come from a return to global peace. Beside the need for reconstruction, other importants matters needs the full attention of the main powers of the world, like the climate crisis, the transition to renewable energies, the economic growth the will be needed to sustain the regions with the most crucial demographic potential (like Africa, the Middle East, India) that, in effect, act as the nurseries of the planet and are where the greater part of mankind will live at the end of the century. A part of that necessary economic growth may possibly come from areas outside our planet, like the Moon, Mars, the belt of asteroids, where many resources are waiting to be harvested, transformed and used, to the benefit of those nations or groups of nations that will be technologically advanced enough to create the infrastructure needed to go beyond the Earth lower orbit. Our Sun's energy will likely be used too, to power at least a part of the economical activities that will, hopefully, be created beyond our common (and for the moment) unique home as a species. The challenges of tomorrow awaits the end of the two wars that have attracted much of mankind's attention since 2022...

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3311804/there-are-limits-problems-chinas-efforts-patch-things-europe?share=%2B%2BYTQ1p65b75O2OZmJ%2F7%2BpHYF80Ffj4ep%2Fa0iWdDVdRVMmwEkLNwzeKOhreD0%2Fbv3EAjFD%2FL1MZJSLTl6Fmokd%2BsuHwuxpolTfmY54XGgLN8JhU9DnCgMEVK1WZM3aLhScGQdFLwG7QsVvhnYiyOHw%3D%3D&utm_campaign=social_share

This is major. Many countries of ASEAN (Southeast Asia's regional bloc) have tried for years to steer a middle course in their economic development, between America and China, two giants embroiled in a growing political rivalry reminiscent of the last century's cold war between the US and the USSR. Trump's ineptitude, with his half-baked trade war against the rest of the world, has finally forced the ten countries who are members of the association to make a choice in favor of China, aligning willingly with its economic priorities and objectives. It doesn't mean, of course, that they would stop trading and dealing with America, but it is a threshold anyway, given the gradual return of the US to a policy of isolationism and retrenchment from the rest of the world. Moreover, the six monarchies of the Arabian/Persian Gulf seems to be following the same path. The Trumpian Trade War is a factor, but the Israeli War is probably another. In all likelyhood, the US is paying the price for its support of the massacres taking place on the Gaza Strip. A big effort of reconstruction will be needed when the Israeli War ends, and the Arab monarchies are apparently more inclined toward the members of the BRICS economic association to help them in that regard. They even bought Trump's tacit acquiescence to the whole scheme with a very expensive (and very visible) bribe, the now infamous Boeing 747 from Qatar. So, most of the Asian landmass is moving economically closer to China these days, including Northern Asia, Central Asia, the Middle East and Southeast Asia. Northeast Asia is still a bastion of American influence, even though the countries of that region cannot afford to turn their back to China, either. It must also be noted that the recent Kasmir War may aggraviate India's uneasiness concerning Beijing's increasing might on the continent, especially considering that Bangladesh has recently joined the growing ranks of China-friendly countries that encircle India, a move that is putting Assam and nearby territories in potential danger.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/ASEAN-tilts-toward-China-and-Gulf-states-as-Trump-tariffs-bite

An instructive article about the Libyan civil war, an internal conflict as intricate and complex as the one next door, in Sudan. Its tone is ominous and suggest that the Tripoli-based and pro-West government may soon fall and be replaced by the other center of power, the one based in Benghazi and Tobruk, who is leaning more on the side of the Bricsian countries. That will be good news for China (and Russia), since Libya is a land bridge between a BRICS member, Egypt, and a country that has been invited to become a partner of the BRICS economic association, Algeria. Libya's territory also links Egypt and the countries of West Africa, through Tchad and, farther to the westward, the three countries that have created the Alliance des États sahéliens (AÉS), a bulging confederation that is made up of Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger, that is protected by Russia and that benefit from numerous Chinese investments projects. It is important to note, here, moreover, that between Niger and the Atlantic Ocean, lies Nigeria, one of Africa's economic and political powerhouse, and a country that has recently become a partner of the BRICS.

https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2025/05/22/the-worlds-worst-conference

Cet article souligne deux points intéressants au sujet du programme lunaire Artemis de la NASA, l'agence spatiale américaine. D'abord, la série de reports et de retards qui frappe ce programme depuis des années n'est peut-être pas terminée. La prochaine mission Artemis pourrait encore être reportée. Ensuite, la carte illustrant la liste des neuf sites potentiels pour l'alunissage, près du pôle Sud de notre satellite naturel, présage possiblement l'allure que prendra cette région de la Lune au cours des prochaines décennies. Il n'est donc pas interdit de penser que les premières bases lunaires puissent y être implantées dans un futur plus ou moins proche, créées par les États-Unis, le consortium sino-russe, l'Inde ou autres, plus ou moins dans le même voisinage. Un telle perspective est impressionnante en soi. Ça fait rêver...

https://www.lemonde.fr/sciences/article/2024/11/06/la-nasa-a-retenu-neuf-sites-pour-le-retour-des-humains-sur-la-lune_6378612_1650684.html

L'Organisation du traité de l'Atlantique nord (OTAN) n'a plus sa raison d'être et doit être reconvertie, élaguée et mise à la disposition de l'Union européenne. L'élaguage se fera sans doute tout naturellement, étant donné que les États-Unis, sur l'impulsion du président Trump, semble vouloir se diriger vers un désengagement envers cette institution créée à la suite de la Deuxième guerre mondiale. Les États-Unis voudront probablement garder la haute-main sur l'organisation, même après avoir réduit leur financement et, très possiblement, avoir aussi rapatrié une partie de leurs troupes, sinon l'ensemble de celles-ci, ce qui pourrait vraisemblablement mener à des tensions avec l'Union européenne, celle-ci étant supposée prendre à sa charge la facture de l'OTAN mais pas sa direction. La nouvelle OTAN qui pourrait en résulter, recomposée en tenant compte du retrait effectif des États-Unis et recentrée sur les pays européens, commencerait alors une nouvelle vie en devenant un instrument utilisé pour coordonner les activités militaires et sécuritaires des pays de l'Union européenne, chapeauté par le Parlement européen et la Commission européenne.

https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2167668/otan-depenses-militaires-guerre-russie-ukraine?partageApp=rcca_appmobile_appinfo_android

C'est très simple: il faut républicaniser le Canada (et le Québec du même coup). Il est possible de le faire, sans que cela ne coûte une fortune et sans qu'il faille verser un seule goutte de sang. Cela prendra une bonne dose de patience, toutefois, de notre part, ainsi que des alliés, aussi nombreux qu'il sera possible d'en trouver, probablement surtout auprès des autochtones, des immigrants et des anglophones les plus éclairés. Il n'y a rien d'impossible, cependant, dans une telle démarche qui permettra au Canada, éventuellement, un jour, d'entrer dans un nouveau monde (et un nouveau millénaire).

https://www.journaldemontreal.com/2025/05/27/monarchie-canadienne-une-farce-coloniale

That Five Powers Defence Arrangements military pacte is a strange creature, very little-knowed outside of the concerned countries. It is certainly an odd mixture. with three Anglospherian kingdoms (Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom) and two Asiatic countries (Singapore and Malaysia) that are important members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Legacy of the ancient British presence in the Malay world, in colonial times, the Five Powers group is obviously used by the UK to further the aims of the United States in the immense Indo-Pacific theater of operation, amid growing Sino-American rivalry. The population of Singapore, a relatively small city-State that is the informal economic center of South-East Asia, is made up of a large ethnic Chinese majority and two smaller minorities, the Tamils (whose presence there predates British colonialism), and the Malays, part of a large and diverse ethno-linguistic family of inter-related peoples who form the majority of the population living in five other South-East Asia countries: Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei, Timor-Leste, and the Philippines, that is to say in the maritime half of South-East Asia, as opposed to its continental part, made up of Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam. Politically, Singapore is a US-friendly country, even though much of the ASEAN countries seems to be starting to lean more toward Beijing than toward Washington, in the Sino-American rivalry, in the wake of the ill-thought and just plain inept trade war initiated by US President Trump against most of the other countries of the planet. In that sense, the reliability of Singapore's current alignment with Washington may be described as doubtful in the long-run. Moreover, the population and government of Malaysia, a majority Muslim country, like its neighbors Indonesia and Brunei, have been shaken by the Gazan War, where the number of Palestinians killed directly or indirectly by Israel, America's main ally in the Middle East, may already have reach the 100,000 mark, if one add-up the number of confirmed dead people to the number of those whose remains still are under the rubbles of what used to be the home of 2.2 millions Palestinians and is now a giant cemetary inhabited by hundred of thousands of starving survivors. In that context, it is quite possible that Malaysia, a country that is also a recent member of the BRICS economic association (along with Thailand and Indonesia), may hesitate before taking a side in any overt military conflict between America and China, whether over the fate of Taiwan or for any other reason.

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3312342/australian-f-35s-uk-carrier-strike-group-feature-five-power-defence-drills?share=LOaKEF%2BE9hldKGs%2FPrPOo5U5VKxBg7gXZ6Xk%2F%2BNPmejun7wKJIPPjQ5RWBz7iZiQLcLCTPy7gjEs2lVNkGiqiFSWDNYBzG0wUmW0ChXrtA6ty%2BArMYKCQrwY2fpZUtOQLDcKYgw9IiZcR20UJbv76A%3D%3D&utm_campaign=social_share

Apparemment chauffés à blanc au cours des dernières années par le "narratif" des pays anglophones au sujet des actions "agressives" de la Chine, les pays d'Asie qui seront représentés lors de cette prochaine rencontre à Singapour, discuteront en profondeur de la rivalité sino-américaine, un sujet de plus en plus d'actualité par les temps qui courent. Tout se combine pour souligner l'importance de l'événement: les pays impliqués, les sujets abordés, le contexte des tensions en cours dans le monde mondiales (avec notamment des combats en Europe orientale et au Moyen-Orient, mais aussi en Libye, au Myanmar, au Soudan, etc.), les conséquences possibles de tous ces conflits et de la situation géopolitique en général dans des domaines aussi critiques que l'évolution de la démocratie moderne, dans ses diverses formes actuelles, et, plus largement, l'avenir de la planète toute entière dans plusieurs domaines incontournables: économie, politique, écologie, science, technologie, exploitation des ressources spatiales, etc. Dans un tel contexte, on devine que le choix du président français pour l'ouverture de la rencontre découle probablement d'une volonté d'éviter les débordements. La France étant relativement neutre dans la rivalité croissante entre l'Amérique et la Chine, tout comme l'Union européenne, d'une façon très générale, l'objectif est vraisemblablement de prévenir les déchirements trop grands entre les pays participants et de chercher à construire des consensus pouvant calmer le jeu et réduire l'accroissement de tensions mondiales déjà trop élevées.

https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2168075/tensions-chine-et-etats-unis-sommet-defense-asie?partageApp=rcca_appmobile_appinfo_android

Trump 2.0 in a few words, so far:

1. A Global Trade War that just proves how inept Trump is about trading matters in general.
2. A series of diplomatic moves that just shows how corrupt a politician he really is (would Franklin Delano Roosevelt have accepted a 400 millions $ bribe for the price of selling the Gaza Strip reconstruction project to the Arabic Gulf Monarchies, while ignoring the plight and suffering of the Gazaouï people, left to the tender mercies of Israel's military?), to an even worse degree than any tin-pot dictator from ''some random country'' in the Third-World, where can be found all those ''shi__y countries'' he feel so superior to.
3. A federal budget that, if adopted as is, will threaten the European Union and many other countries that used to be friendly to the US with a wide range of tax-based retaliations, levies and punishments, carefully designed to squeeze as much money as possible from abroad, in order to lower taxes at home, for ''real people''.

What's next?

https://www.economist.com/united-states/2025/05/29/america-has-found-a-new-lever-to-squeeze-foreigners-for-cash

The author of the arricle below is right. Trying to prove that Canada is a sovereign country by reminding the population that its head of state is a foreign king is, in effect, to prove the complete opposite, that it is still a dependancy of the United Kingdom and an integral part of the British Empire. The Canadian Kingdom must become the Canadian Republic.

https://www.journaldemontreal.com/2025/05/29/le-canada-doit-trouver-de-nouveaux-moyens-dexprimer-sa-souverainete#cxrecs_s

Bravo! Vive la binarité!

https://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/885160/quebec-porte-appel-jugement-statuant-enfant-peut-avoir-plus-deux-parents

A very instructive article on the impact of Donald Trump's trade war on American retailers and Chinese suppliers.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3312482/us-retail-giants-pushing-chinese-suppliers-shoulder-66-tariff-costs?share=TKsXJH%2B9EetHviGNe0M1YtqzPJdlJ2F1MuaxU%2Fx2ho1Ncp6zKCNl%2F%2BT1UliO3n0BXGZOyNJ87PzrPOzDYmL2vk%2ByhoOX6VSumivgGHFn5DPPjU1HAhp4R92Y9TnARzVm%2Fvtxi5K%2Brog85G3c7p4Gcg%3D%3D&utm_campaign=social_share

Le mouvement de dé-dollarisation qui se profile de plus en plus est le reflet de changements structurels aussi profonds que ceux qui sont survenus à la fin de la Deuxième guerre mondiale, alors que les États-Unis étaient au faîte de leur puissance économique et politique. Devenus aujourd'hui "l'homme malade" du monde occidental, pour reprendre une expression autrefois utilisée pour décrire l'Empire ottoman déclinant, les États-Unis sont confrontés à une nouvelle réalité économique, inusitée, qu'ils s'expliquent mal, à en juger par les gestes désordonnés et cahotiques de l'administration Trump 2.0. Au même moment, les puissances asiatiques (Chine, Indonésie, Inde, Japon, Émirats arabes unis, etc.) tendent à se coordonner, à se concentrer sur leur propre développement et à mettre l'emphase sur leurs monnaies nationales, tout comme plusieurs pays de l'Union européenne, d'ailleurs, lesquels, pris entre l'arbre chinois et l'écorce américaine, s'interrogent sur leur avenir, cherchent une troisième voie et misent sur l'euro.

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/economics/article/3312461/asia-diversifies-us-dollar-chinese-yuan-gold-bitcoin-driving-change?share=NpIDnRijZQ6fCtnhDuSDqUlQ3rlbP78DhFomcpFr2qtbGvviQfrxjQFSe85iXo%2FTrxP0fyB7Y7bOINULUNxOVIZy%2BM9RROmQEsY0G9UwhW4TvArusf60ZGHAutp0gxk5IPNYZxPO3vNjhdbxQlovUQ%3D%3D&utm_campaign=social_share

Curieusement, cela fait penser à l'époque où les Américains, les Britanniques et les Soviétiques s'arrachaient les ingénieurs allemands, après la Seconde guerre mondiale, pour construire leurs premières grandes fusées grâce à tout ce que ceux-ci avait appris lors du développement des missiles A-4 (i.e. les V2) durant la guerre, avec Wernher von Braun. La station de recherche de Peenemunde, sur la mer Baltique, est l'ancêtre direct des bases de lancement du Cap Canaveral et de Baïkonour...

https://www.economist.com/china/2025/05/22/chinas-universities-are-wooing-western-scientists

This interesting article in The Economist shows the central role played by China in the Myanmar Civil War, opposing three main actors: the military government, a Western-backed Bamar rebellion and a diverse array of ethnic minorities living in the outlying areas of this land, whose territory the central government has been struggling to control since independence, because of its large extent, its difficult geography, and its diversified linguistic and religious makeup. China is a key player because it wish to avoid a too turbulent neighbor on its southern flank. It also has many economic investments to protect over there. Another reason is the pipeline that has been constructed in the north of Myanmar, from the Chinese province of Yunnan to the Indian Ocean, along which route a railway is supposed to be built one day, helping Myanmar becoming an important asset for Beijing, forming in effect a land bridge betwwen China and the Indian Ocean, bypassing the Strait of Malacca, a strategic chokehold giving access to the South China Sea.

https://www.economist.com/interactive/asia/2025/05/30/china-calls-the-shots-in-myanmars-civil-war

A very enlightened discussion about where China is going, economically, in the long-run, as it keep negociating its way around Trump's global trade war, in the short-term.

https://www.scmp.com/economy/global-economy/article/3309715/unswerving-superpowers-meet-unsustainable-tariffs-yao-yang-breaks-down-paradox?share=3HxEYDT5CBaN2FakddkYbpPiB95noVL0HAiRwLDuf8WUV6RD0oRUURPoPz6P8wGSM%2BLJZq%2BoYn3t3JMVG%2BLvlxMG3z2W8p%2Bd0Z7yl2fv039X8wv%2Bxjg%2FTt7U75qn8sYXH7PZtRwzPHDx3wwdIUpj%2FQ%3D%3D&utm_campaign=social_share