LE SOJA DE LA COLÈRE

 

LES NOUVELLES - 2025

OCTOBRE

(26)

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(Affichages faits sur Linked In, en date du dimanche 5 octobre 2025)

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This is a very interesting article that incite the reader to rethink the way he is used to see the world. The word 'petrostates' indicates a country that has became rich because of its fossil fuels. Oil was long synonymous with wealth. It is true that the assimilation of fossil fuels with modernity and wealth is an old one that goes with the beginning of the Industrial revolution. Countries with large coal deposits had an edge over those who didn't. History would have been very different had Britain not been able to count on the presence of a large supply of coal on its soil. Nowadays, things are different and we have to adapt to different realities. Fossil fuels must now be seen as the main cause of the growing climatic problems that we have inadvertently created by making use of them.

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/09/goodbye-petrostates-hello-electrostates-how-the-clean-energy-shift-is-reshaping-the-world-order/

Un texte important qui montre l'étendue et la profondeur des liens qui unissent la Chine et l'Iran, dans la foulée des affrontements récents entre la République islamique et Israël, puis entre celle-ci et les États-Unis. Les deux conflits ont accéléré un rapprochement qui était déjà en cours depuis 2021 et ont ainsi permis à Beijing d'intégrer davantage l'Iran à son réseau sécuritaire eurasien, aux côtés de la Russie. L'Iran, blessée et meurtrie par ces affrontements, sort ainsi de ces événements plus forte, potentiellement, grâce a l'appui dont elle dispose maintenant auprès de Moscou et, surtout, de Beijing. Au même moment, Israël et les États-Unis se retrouvent de plus en plus isolés dans leur intransigeance, aux yeux du monde.

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/09/chinas-long-game-in-irans-short-war/?utm_source=Pearls+%26+Irritations&utm_campaign=505a23cfcd-Daily&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_0c6b037ecb-505a23cfcd-668562871

Intéressant pour mieux comprendre les liens financiers entre l'Afrique et son environnement, notamment la Chine, l'Inde, le golfe Arabique /Persique et l'Europe.

https://www.jeuneafrique.com/1725627/economie-entreprises/centres-financiers-en-afrique-pourquoi-maurice-detrone-le-maroc/

Un texte important qui souligne les avancées de la marine chinoise, supérieure en nombre de coques à la marine américaine, mais peut-être pas encore en puissance de feu. La multiplication du nombre de porte-avions risque cependant d'avoir un impact à ce niveau au cours des prochaines années. La marine chinoise jouit aussi d'un avantage en ce qui concerne son déploiement, présentement limité aux eaux proches du territoire national, alors que la marine américaine est dispersée sur l'ensemble des océans du monde. La concentration de la flotte chinoise permet une force de frappe impressionnante, devant une flotte américaine qui, elle, souffre d'être éparpillée un peu partout.

https://defencesecurityasia.com/en/china-type004-nuclear-supercarrier-largest-aircraft-carrier/

C'est exactement le genre de décision discriminatoire qui risque d'aggraver les fractures politiques qui déchirent de plus en plus les États-Unis. Les politiques de l'administration Trump 2.0 visent essentiellement à nuire le plus possible aux États bleus (ceux qui votent démocrates) et à renforcer le plus possible les États rouges (ceux qui votent républicains). Ici, le gouvernement fédéral américain n'agit plus comme une instance qui est au service de tous les citoyens et citoyennes de notre voisin du Sud, mais comme une instance qui est au service d'une faction bien définie, représentant ceux et celles qui admirent Trump, rejetant du même coup, sans vergogne, tous ceux et celles qui ne font pas suffisamment preuve d'une dévotion sincère et sans limite à son égard. La preuve en est que les États qui font l'objet de ces coupures se trouvent tous dans trois grands sous-blocs régionaux qui regroupent les États non trumpiens. Il y a ainsi un sous-bloc sur la côte du Pacifique et le Sud-Ouest, un autre dans le Nord-Est et un autre dans le secteur des Grands lacs. Les États trumpiens, eux, s'en sortent indemnes. Plus il y aura de décisions de ce genre, plus les citoyens et les citoyennes des États discriminés risquent de se braquer et de chercher des façons de résister à un gouvernement fédéral qui ne les représente plus.

https://richardhetu.com/2025/10/01/energie-verte-ladministration-trump-annule-des-projets-dans-16-etats-bleus-totalisant-8-milliards-de-dollars/

Very true. Will the leaders of the European Union wake up one day and smell the coffee or will they choose to continue believing in Washington's fairy tales?

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7379424935221305344/

Voici un article remarquablement bien informé, complet et détaillé, sur les actions menées par les Émirats arabes unis dans leur voisinage, notamment la péninsule arabique et le Nord-Est africain, de la Lybie à Socotra, conjointement avec ses alliés israéliens et américains au cours des dernières années. On peut mieux y mesurer l'intensité des liens qui unissent les États-Unis, Israël et les pays arabes ayant signé les accords d'Abraham, dont les Émirats, mais aussi Bahreïn et le Maroc, entre autres. L'article permet aussi de mieux comprendre les rapports complexes qui existent entre les Émirats et l'Arabie saoudite, dont les intérêts convergent dans certains dossiers, mais divergent dans d'autres. Tout ce secteur est en effervescence depuis des décennies, dans la foulée des manifestations suscitées lors du printemps arabe et des guerres civile qui s'en sont ensuivies, de la Lybie à la Syrie, mais aussi des actions vengeresses qu'ont entrepris les États-Unis à la suite des attentats du 11 septembre, bien décidés à disloquer une demi-douzaine d'États musulmans jugés dangereux: l'Afghanistan, le Yémen, le Soudan, la Lybie, l'Iran, la Syrie et l'Iraq. Aujourd'hui, un quart de siècle après ces attentats, plusieurs de ces pays sont en morceaux. D'autres pays ont profité de cette désorganisation générale pour étendre leur influence, notamment par le biais de bases militaires installées sur tout le pourtour de la péninsule arabique, ainsi que dans le Nord-Est africain. C'est le cas des Émirats, mais aussi de la Turquie et de l'Inde, entre autres. Il en résulte un enchevêtrement extrêmement touffu, avec des bases indiennes sur des îles mauritiennes, des bases émiratis sur des îles yéménites, des bases françaises aux Émirats, des bases turques au Soudan et en Somalie, des bases japonaises, chinoises, italiennes (et autres) à Djibouti, des projets de bases éthiopiennes au Somaliland, etc. Avec l'émergence graduelle des pays asiatiques, au plan économique, conjugué au déclin relatif des pays occidentaux, l'évolution future des événements dans le Nord-Est africain et le Sud-Ouest asiatique est difficile à prévoir. L'avenir de cette région est pourtant cruciale, puisqu'elle assure le contact entre l'Asie, le continent qui domine le présent siècle, et l'Afrique, le continent qui, en toute probabilité, dominera le siècle suivant, grâce à plusieurs facteurs appelés à influer durablement sur le cours des choses, dont l'abondance de ses ressources naturelles, qu'elles soient minières ou agricoles, le dynamisme de sa population en pleine explosion démographique et les promesses d'un essor économique qui ne fait que commencer.

https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-yemen-somalia-circle-bases-control-gulf-of-aden

It raise a question: does the US intends to initiated air strikes against ground targets inside Venezuela? Or is it a calculated move to scare Caracas into making concessions?

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-war-drug-boat-cartels-terrorism-caribbean-10819793?utm_source=STMailing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Geoscape&emh=203e2b52bb7cdda2cf72b78cbe625321bed7b7f7ac3b146f04dc71f02dc50bce&lctg=67f8fd055605f7af030a90ba&utm_term=%5BAudience%5D%20-%20Geoscape

Overpoliticization seems to be the right word here. In today's America, you're on the side of God-Trump or you're not. In that case, you're scum, a piece of s___, and nothing else. It is not even a question of partisanship anymore, but of religionlike devotion. "Cult of personality" is the expression that was created, some decades back, to describe the kind of rule exerted by the likes of Stalin, Mussolini and Hitler. Trump is not cruel enough to be a Hitler, and not believable enough to be a Stalin. He's more like a Mussolini, viewed like a God by millions of Italians, in his time, because he used great words and great dreams to describe what Italy would became in the wake of his policies. Trump seems to follow straight in the steps of Il Duce, equating his own self-proclaimed greatness with America's self-proclaimed greatness. If you believe in him, you believe in America, and bla-bla-bla. One get the impression that America's fate will be marked by a long decline, painless but fruitless, full of great words and bad decisions, each setback explained by the doings of an unfair world, unable to grasp the worthiness of Trumpian America, the Beacon of Civilization.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/education-department-employees-email-automatically-changed-rcna235211

This is a clear sign that at least a portion of the US policymaking establishment is reevaluating the strategic posture of the United States that has prevailed since the end of the Second world war. In the proposed perspective, the Asia Pivot will be on the way out, to be replaced by an hemispheric redeployment around the Americas. At the same time, the traditional transatlantic relationship with Europe will remain, but with a different emphasis, from a military one to an economic one. Thus, economic partnership will be the order of the day, while Europeans take care of the greater part of their own security interests, with a reduced level of US support. As for China, the political rivalry will continue, but at a distance, avoiding the entanglement implied by the creation of an Asiatic military alliance. By rapatriating most of the troops from Europe, and by reducing its general level of commitments and responsabilities, while keeping stable the number of soldiers in Asia, America will then be able to focus on its own needs first, building up its economy, working on its social problems, and putting its public budget and long-term finances back in order. For America, such an outcome might the best possible scenario. Instead of playing the part of world hegemon, wiyh all the costs and responsabilities that such a thing imply, America would simply be one of the poles of the new multipolar order. It would thus put its focus on its own national territory, first, then on its own hemisphere, second, all the while keeping a distant eye on its allies located overseas, in the outlying areas that lies beyond the Pacific and the Atlantic.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/fatal-flaw-transatlantic-alliance

Une comparison intellectuellement stimulante, prouvant que l'Occident n'a pas toujours été (et ne sera pas toujours) le centre du monde. Dans les années 1300, alors que Londres était une agglomération minuscule et de peu d'importance, située au sud d'un petit royaume situé aux marges de l'Europe, Mogadiscio était une grande cité trépidante, installée au centre d'un réseau commercial florissant, avec un grand nombre de voies terrestres et maritimes lui donnant accès aux villes avoisinantes. Ça montre bien à quel point la vie est en mouvement perpétuel, un enchaînement ininterrompue de transformations, toujours en chemin vers autre chose. Ce n'est pas seulement le cas de Londres ou de Migadiscio. Durant le même siècle, partout sur la planète, des événements en tout genre prenaient place dans des villes et des villages japonais, estoniens, mayas, gujaratis, basques, tchabés, vietnamiens, danois, etc.

https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7379245337305268224/

This project was flawed from the beginning. The most important mistake was to pair Dassault and Airbus to realize a new European fighter. That project is obviously going nowhere fast. To choose the F-35 is to choose dependence on a fickle ally, the United States. To choose the Global Combat Air Program is to choose another fickle ally, the United Kingdom, along with Italy and Japan. The obvious solution is to capitalize on European strength and favor intra-European rivalry by promoting two different groups, based on two indigenous military aircraft manufacturers, one in northern Europe (Saab) and one in southern Europe (Dassault). Germany, Sweden and other countries may coalesce around a future jet to replace eventually the Gripen, while France, Spain and other countries may coalesce around the future alternative of the Rafale. Given the enormous costs associated with modern military aircraft, the participation of other European countries would be very important, in favor of one group or of the other. In that scheme, each group would have to incite other countries to invest in its own project: Poland, Belgium, Finland, Greece, Austria, the Netherlands, etc. Moreover, if Italy can turn its back on the GCAP project and choose one of the two groups, il would be a good thing and make the financing of the chosen project easier. If countries that are not part of the European Union (like Canada, Switzerland and Norway, for instance) can join one or the other of the two groups, it would be even better. In that way, two teams will compete against each other to produce the best fighter possible, at the best cost possible, to the overall benefit of the European Union. To bet on the F-35, or an hypothetical Anglo-Italo-Japanese jet, in the present circumstances, would be short-term thinking. That kind of project needs a forward orientation that aim to develop European's capabilities and know-how.

https://www.economist.com/europe/2025/10/02/europes-biggest-military-project-could-collapse

"It's unfortunate the Chinese leadership has decided to use the American farmers, soybean farmers in particular, as a hostage or pawn in the trade negociations", said the Treasury Secretary, Scott Besset, on CNBC, according to CBS News. Hostage taking, of course, is nothing new for the Trump 2.0 administration, since it used exactly the same technique against its own allies, by threatening to close their access to America's internal market if they do not increase their defence expenditures to 5 % in the next ten years. The European Union was the most obvious target of that arm-twisting technique, but many other countries were threatened too, like Canada, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and others. To many observers, the trade war between America and the rest of the world is, in a great part, the result of an almost pathological greed, not just the ordinary, normal urge that most people have about bettering his or her own life, but a kind of out of control capitalistic impulse to make the United States, already the wealthiest country in the world, even more wealthy, by pressuring not only other countries wishing to sell it their goods and services, but also most of it own population, by making goods and services more expensive than they already are, all in the goal of generating revenues for the federal government, whose level of indebtness has risen astronomically since the Reagan years. At that time, in the 80s, many people, inside or outside the United States, were wondering how Reagan intended to lower taxes, raise expenses, and balance the budget, all at the same time. The easy answer, one that has been used by Western politicians of all stripes and nationality since that time, was that it would simply be a matter of creating enough economic growth to eliminate debt in the long-run. It didn't happen. Reagan choose that strategy to overpower the Soviet Union, and it worked, but it also generated, in his own country and elsewhete, a huge mountain of debts that, after he left office, has continued to accumulate, year after year, till today, and whose rate of increasing even seem to go faster even faster these days. The US is in that situation, now, and most Western countries are too. One the main problem is democracy itself, aspiring politicians are reluctant to talk about budgetary restrictions: cost-cutting measures does not sell well to the electorate, while rosy predictions does. Electoralism and demagoguery are the worst enemies of sound policy-making. Trump, in his second campaign trail, essentially told Americans that he will make their life easier, raise their salaries, lower their expenses, diminish the rate of inflation, restore the greatness of America, reassure its allies, frighten its enemies, and createn a Golden Age like the world has never seen before. The amount of peddling was astounding.. None of that is likely to happen. In fact, it is probable that Trump's ineptness will simply accelerate the rate of decline of his country and open the way to new powers, more in tune with what the world really needs. One of the things that is baldly needed, now, is not a more powerful America, but a planet that must do more to put the climate right, and rectify the inadvertent (and malevolent) effects of the Industrial Age. That promised to be an enormous endeavor in itself. The best way to do such a thing is certainly not in increasing military budgets all over the planet, but in putting priorities right. In the realm of public policies, economic development and increased trade should be some of the ways that have to be privileged, not in order to put more money into our pockets, but in order to clear the way for our children, and make sure they have the tools they will require in the long journey into their own future. Also, more should be done to help poorer countries becoming more able to accommodate their burgeoning population, especially in Africa, in the Middle East and in South Asia, the three regions of the world that most of the mankind of tomorrow will call home.

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/trump-trade-argentina-china-soybeans-rcna235257

It would be surprising if Trump see the color of that money before the end of his term. In fact, it's not likely to happen afterwards either, whoever replace him. The whole subject is simply ludicrous it's almost unbeliveable. It shows how amateurish the Trumpians really are. Another POLITICO article, that one about the fate of the proposed External Revenue Service, is even more telling, with Trump describing that source of money as a kind of "tax rebates" for the poorest taxpayers. At one point, he even called it "dividends", as if he was the Chief Executive Officier of a private company, and not the president of a country. Trump, the Peddler in Chief of the United States, is probably the worst thing to ever befall his country...

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/10/03/japan-trump-trade-lutnick-00593711

Few would mourn the passing of narco-traffikets, if that is what they really were. There is a problem, though, in the sense that these moves are instances of butal inefficiency mafia-like. Corpses do not talk. Corpses can not tell the names of other operatives, describe the complexity of gang relations, gave indications about caches, etc. Corpses are useless, in other words, as compared to live people who can be forced to spill secrets and be used to unravel whole networks What those operations are useful for, in fact, is in their impact on the American public, as photo-ops. They are used as props for the midterm elections of next year. In short, they are yet another instance of Trumpian demagoguery at work, a ghoulish way to celebrate the greatness of America. America used to be the place where a statuesque and gigantic Liberté greeted the newcomers entering the port of New York by sea. Now America is inflicting arbitrary death from the air, in order to gain votes. Stangely enough, it makes one think about Rome, with the gladiators dying in the arena, in order to please huge crowds of ignorant plebeans screaming with joy and asking for more and more blood...

https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/03/politics/strikes-boat-carribbean-fourth?cid=android_app

I do not know if she's Japan's answer to Margaret Thatcher. But is she another Trump-admiring Meloni ? Will she be bold enough to push back her predecessor's agreement to give Trump a big pot of investment money, worth 550 millions US $, in exchange for reduced trade tariffs ?

https://www.economist.com/asia/2025/10/04/victory-for-japans-polarising-iron-lady-takaichi-sanae

A greater degree of cooperation between Europe's ESA and Japan's JAXA is an excellent thing. What would be even better? A closer relationship with India's ISRO. That would make for a stronger, more unified approach toward space. China and Russia already have an interesting and promising long-term partnership, helped by a growing cluster of space agencies representing smaller countries. NASA remains a potent force, even though budgetary cuts may eventually reduce it to the status of an intermediary coordinating a number of private enterprises through a system of public contracts. An association involving three medium-size agencies (ESA, JAXA, ISRO) may, in the coming years, become an interesting alternative, as long as they are able to work together with clearly-defined goals and areas of resoonsability.

https://asia.nikkei.com/politics/international-relations/europe-space-agency-eyes-tokyo-office-deeper-collaboration-with-jaxa

Scary reading... Is that what happen when you hear all your life that your country is the best there is in the whole world and that everything else is nothing but crap???

https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/10/dementia-president-could-it-be-that-trump-has-truly-lost-his-mind/?utm_source=Pearls+%26+Irritations&utm_campaign=4235d8486a-Daily&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_0c6b037ecb-4235d8486a-668562871

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