The Human Archipelago / L'Archipel humain

  The Golan Heights. (December 4, 2024) Military units of the Iran's Revolutionary Guards are among the thousands of irregular fighters from Iraki groups that are on the move toward Hama (central Syria) to repell the Idlib rebels storming south from recently-captured Aleppo. The news is significant since it mean a direct involvement of the Iranian governement in the conflict against Israel-backed rebels, not just by air (two large waves of missiles so far) but now with ground forces. Turkiye and America are also behind the rebels. All those reinforcements are rushing toward the defensive line hurriedly erected by the Syrian governement north of Hama, in order to repulse the surprise attack. Syria's capital, Damascus, is located southward of Hama. The Revolutionary Guards are the elite forces of the Iranian governement, its ideological arm. They are separate from the regular army, which is operated by the ministry of defense. Their presence imply the possible involvement of regu...

  Jamais deux sans trois? America may be going toward an imperial presidency. Till Franklin Delano Roosevelt, all US presidents had one or two terms, no more. FDR was the only one to get four terms, one after the other, at an important period in American history, between the Great Depression and the last months of the Second World War. It was only after his death that the American Constitution was modified, limiting the number of terms to a maximum of two. Donald Trump, the President-elect, is presently preparing to take office. He has a firm control over the White House (the Executive branch) and of most of the Senate and of the House of representatives (the Legislative branch), while a majority of the Supreme Court judges (the Judiciary branch) are on his side, plus a sizable part of the press. The Democrats are clearly on the defensive, at least for the time being. The first half of his term, from the month of January to the midterm elections, will be very imporant. Things shoul...

  Le monde bricsien actuel, tel qu'annoncé lors de la rencontre de Johannesbourg de l'an dernier. À remarquer que l'Argentine a tourné de dos aux BRICS et que l'Arabie saoudite est un quasi-membre, n'ayant pas encore finalisé l'ensemble des démarches nécessaires. * * * (Texte basé sur un article paru initialement sur X -Twitter-) * * * (30 novembre 2024) Le retrait du Tchad de ses accords militaire avec la France, combiné avec une décision similaire du Sénégal, tout récemment, s'inscrit dans le cadre de la montée en puissance des pays bricsiens en Afrique, aux dépens des pays occidentaux. Les pays du BRICS, notamment la Chine et la Russie, sont de plus en plus présents en Afrique, la première au plan économique, la seconde au plan militaire. Ce ne sont pas les seuls, cependant, loin s'en faut. L'Inde est aussi très active, surtout dans le domaine économique, notamment au Nigéria. C'est aussi le cas des Émirats arabes unis, en Égypte mais aussi a...

* * * (Text first published on X, November 28th, 2024) The state of Israel is build upon the ghosts of all those Palestinians that have been repressed or eliminated through the decades. The Israeli dream is the Palestinian nightmare, since 1948. Those who lives in Gaza are being hunted down and killed, or just bombed out of existence, like so much animals, by the Israel armed forces. As for those who lives in the West Bank or East Jerusalem, they are left devoid of political rights, just like the black South Africans who were the vast majority of the population in their own country at the time of apartheid, not so long ago. The Palestinians living in that part of the territories that were taken from Jordan in 1967 have to live under military occupation, while the West Bank and North-Gaza is slowly prepared for forceful annexation, against the will of its original population, just like East-Jerusalem was forcefully integrated to Jerusalem. Something must be said about the flood of se...

  (Based on a series of recent posts on X (Twitter) * * * (November 9, 2024) The Trumpian movement has decided that climate change is a hoax and that the green transition is therefore irrelevant. "Drill, drill, drill" is the mantra of Trump and of his supporters, convinced that electric cars, solar panels and wind towers are simply parts of a Chinese plot and that the US must rely on fossil fuels. This is a tragedy for the whole world because their kind of thinking has already infected a good part of US public opinion and because America is still the most powerful country on the planet. That country's potential for disinformation and the dissemination of falsehoods is strong and backed by the full power of the American governement: the White House, the Senate, the House of Representatives (probably) and the Supreme Court. Political realities and scientific facts do not mix well. At worst, they can form an explosive mix and, at best, have awkward effects and half-bake re...

  L'Alliance des pays sahéliens regroupe, de gauche à droite, le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger. Cette nouvelle entité en cours d'intégration domine tout l'intérieur sahélien des pays de l'Afrique de l'Ouest. Actuellement, la CÉDÉAO (Communauté économique des États de l'Afrique de l'Ouest) peut être divisée en deux secteurs: les trois pays sahéliens, d'une part, et les pays guinéens, d'autre part, ceux-ci constituant une longue bande côtière allant du Sénégal, à l'ouest du Mali, au Nigéria, au sud du Niger. * * * La mise en place d'un espace numérique sans frontières, annoncée récemment par l'agence de presse AES Info, souligne qu'un autre pas a été franchi dans l'intégration progressive des trois pays sahéliens que sont le Mali, le Burkina Faso et le Niger. Déjà regroupées dans une alliance militaire bien établie et un début de confédération politique, les trois entités cheminent aussi dans l'établissement de liens économi...

  In a few weeks, will there be a T-shape Savior floating in a sky painted Republican Red? * * * (Below, are to be found a few publications that were recently posted on X (Twitter), some weeks ahead of the Second Coming of Donald Trump, in January 2025) * * * (November 7, 2024) It is becoming clearer that the consequences of the last American general elections are mix. It should be noted that Trump would probably have a bigger sway this time, since the Republican party will be controlling most branches of the government: the Executive, the Senate, the House of Representatives (in all probability) and the Supreme Court (heavily stuffed with conservatives judges since the time of Trump 1.0). The probable impact of Trump 2.0 on the fate of the United States may be broadly described in a twofold manner. It should generally prove to be negative economically, while generally prove to be positive politically. On the economic plane, there is a good chance that the popular appeal of wha...

  (Based on recent publications on X / Twitter) * * * (8 novembre, 2024) Au moins, l'Europe peut se féliciter d'avoir remplacé sa grande dépendance au gaz naturel russe par une tout aussi grande dépendance au gaz naturel américain, par ailleurs bien plus dispendieux. Cela aura tout de même permis à l'Europe 1) de rester du bon côté de l'Histoire, c'est-à-dire le côté de l'OTAN et des États-Unis, 2) de se conformer aux voeux des puissances anglophones et 3) de prendre ses distances à l'endroit de la Chine, le nouvel Empire du Mal aux yeux de l'oncle Sam. La bonne Europe se montre fidèle à l'Amérique et nul ne peut l'en blâmer, même si celle-ci, nouvellement tombée sous la férule de Donald Trump, s'apprête à laisser tomber l'Ukraine, aussitôt que ce sera possible pour le nouveau président, sans qu'il se soucie le moins du monde des droits humains, de la démocratie ou de ce genre de choses. Dans ce domaine, les Républicains ne valent ...

  (Based on recent publications on X / Twitter) * * * (November 8, 2024) It is becoming clearer that the consequences of the last American general elections are multiple. It is important to note that Trump should have a bigger sway this time, since the Republican party will be controlling most branches of the government: the Executive, the Senate, the House of Representatives (in all probability) and the Supreme Court (heavily stuffed with conservatives judges since the time of Trump 1.0). The probable impact of Trump 2.0 on the fate of the United States may be broadly described in a twofold manner. It should generally prove to be negative economically, but generally politically politically. On the economic plane, there is a good chance that the popular appeal of what appear like easy fixes through tax cuts and trade barriers would be irresistible. Those kinds of measures will bring beneficial results in the short-term. The problem is that they may bring terrible consequences i...